A lie detector is known to be 4/5 reliable when the person is guilty and 9/10 reliable when the person is innocent. If a suspect is chosen from a group of suspects of which only 1/100 have ever committed a crime, and the test indicates that the person is guilty, what is the probability that he is guilty?

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

0.0748 = 7.48% probability that he is guilty

Step-by-step explanation:

Conditional Probability

We use the conditional probability formula to solve this question. It is

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

In which

P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.

[tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening.

P(A) is the probability of A happening.

In this question:

Event A: Tests indicates guilty

Event B: Person is guilty

Probability that the test indicates that the person is guilty:

4/5 = 0.8 of 1/100 = 0.01(person is guilty)

1 - 0.9 = 0.1 of 1 - 0.99(person is not guilty). So

[tex]P(A) = 0.8*0.01 + 0.1*0.99 = 0.107[/tex]

Test indicates guilty and the person is guilty;

0.01 of 0.8. So

[tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.01*0.8 = 0.008[/tex]

What is the probability that he is guilty?

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.008}{0.107} = 0.0748[/tex]

0.0748 = 7.48% probability that he is guilty

Answer 2

The required value is [tex]\simeq0.925 \ or \ 92.5[/tex]%.

Probability:

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event to occur. Many events cannot be predicted with total certainty. We can predict only the chance of an event to occur i.e., how likely they are to happen, using it.

Let [tex]T_G[/tex] and [tex]T_I[/tex] denote the test result being guilty or innocent respectively.

And, [tex]G[/tex] and [tex]I[/tex] denote that the person is guilty or innocent respectively.

Given that: [tex]P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )=\frac{4}{5}[/tex]

[tex]P\left ( T_I\mid I \right )=\frac{9}{10}\Rightarrow P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )=1-\frac{9}{10}=\frac{1}{10}[/tex]

[tex]P(G)=\frac{1}{100} \\ \therefore P(I)=1-P(G) \\ =1-\frac{1}{100} \\ =\frac{99}{100}[/tex]

Now, the required probability is,

[tex]P(I\mid T_G)=\frac{P\left ( T_G\mid I \right )\times P(I)}{P(T_G\mid I)\times P(I)+P\left ( T_G\mid G \right )\times P(G)}[/tex]

              [tex]=\frac{\frac{1}{10}\times\frac{99}{100}}{\left ( \frac{1}{10}\times \frac{99}{100}\right )+\left ( \frac{4}{5}\times\frac{1}{100} \right )} \\ =\frac{0.099}{0.099+0.008} \\ =\frac{0.099}{0.107} \\ =0.92523 \\ \simeq 0.925 \\ or \ 92.5%[/tex]

Learn more about the topic of Probability:  brainly.com/question/26959834


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Answer: D

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Step-by-step explanation:

Formulas:

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1.ILL GIVE BRAINIEST FOR ANSWER
Chan invested $12,500 in a savings account that pays 2.5% simple interest. How much interest does
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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer: 13

Explanation:

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A retail shop is replacing their flooring with laminate wood. The floor plan is shown below. Determine the total square feet of laminate wood needed to complete the the job.

Answers

Answer:

1075 ft

Step-by-step explanation:

25*35 = 875

8*25 = 200

875+200 = 1075

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Answers

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Here,

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Step-by-step explanation:

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The answer would be 10 just divide :)

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Step-by-step explanation:

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[tex]\mathsf{-12=6\sqrt{x+4}}[/tex]

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[tex]\textsf{DIVIDE your BOTH SIDES by 6}[/tex]

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[tex]\textsf{Introduce the new temporary equation}[/tex]

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[tex]\textsf{SOLVE for your SQUARE ROOT }[/tex]

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

hope it helps

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Answers

Answer:

2.4414063e+14 (wow such a large number)

Step-by-step explanation:

10x25= 250

250 to the 6th power = 2.4414063e+14

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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x[tex]\leq[/tex]1

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

A. (2√13)/13

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Therefore,

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Answers

Answer:

C

Step-by-step explanation:

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C
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O 11x

0 2x

I want the answer the steps

Answers

Answer:

The "middle" term is 11x.

Step-by-step explanation:

(3x + 5)(4x - 3)

Solve this by using FOIL: first – outer – inner – last

F: 3x • 4x = 12x²

O: 3x • -3 = -9x

I: 5 • 4x = 20x

L: 5 • -3 = -15

Combine the terms.

12x² - 9x + 20x - 15

Combine like terms.

12x² + 11x - 15

The "middle" term is 11x.

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Answers

Answer:

b is correct

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

I believe the answer is D

Step-by-step explanation:

Solve 4r2 – 5 = 59
{± 3}


{± 4}


{± 5}


{±6}

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  (b)  ±4

Step-by-step explanation:

  4r^2 -5 = 59 . . . . given

  4r^2 = 64 . . . . . . . add 5

  r^2 = 16 . . . . . . . . . divide by 4

  r = ±4 . . . . . . . . . . . take the square root

How much money is needed to be invested now to obtain $12,100 8 years from now if this amount is invested at 7.25% compounded continuously?

Answers

Answer:

$6,911.92

Step-by-step explanation:

Given the following

Amount A = $12,100

Time t = 8yrs

Rate r = 7.25%

Required

Principal P

Using the compound interest formula;

A = P(1+r)^n

12,100 = P(1+0.0725)^8

12,100 = P(1.0725)^8

12100 = 1.7506P

P = 12,100/1.7506

P = 6,911.92

Hence the amount invested would have been $6,911.92

Which choice is equivalent to the expression below?
✓-27
A. -3✓3
B. 3✓3
C. 3i✓3
D. -✓27
E.-3✓3i

Answers

Answer:

C. 3i✓3

Step-by-step explanation:

Which choice is equivalent to the expression below?

✓-27

Square root of a negative value, so it will have a complex part.

We have that:

[tex]\sqt{-a^2} = ai[/tex]

In this question:

The square root of -27 can be factored as:

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Answers

Answer:

For [tex]x = -2[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Solving a quadratic equation:

Given a second order polynomial expressed by the following equation:

[tex]ax^{2} + bx + c, a\neq0[/tex].

This polynomial has roots [tex]x_{1}, x_{2}[/tex] such that [tex]ax^{2} + bx + c = a(x - x_{1})*(x - x_{2})[/tex], given by the following formulas:

[tex]x_{1} = \frac{-b + \sqrt{\Delta}}{2*a}[/tex]

[tex]x_{2} = \frac{-b - \sqrt{\Delta}}{2*a}[/tex]

[tex]\Delta = b^{2} - 4ac[/tex]

In this question:

[tex]f(x) = x^2 - 2x[/tex]

[tex]g(x) = 6x + 4[/tex]

[tex]f(x) + g(x) = (f+g)(x)  = x^2 - 2x + 6x + 4 = x^2 + 4x + 4[/tex]

Which is a value of x does (f+g)(x) =0

[tex]x^2 + 4x + 4[/tex]

Quadratic equation with [tex]a = 1, b = 4, c = 4[/tex]

So

[tex]\Delta = 4^{2} - 4*1*4 = 0[/tex]

[tex]x_{1} = \frac{-4 + \sqrt{0}}{2} = -2[/tex]

[tex]x_{2} = \frac{-4 - \sqrt{0}}{2} = -2[/tex]

For [tex]x = -2[/tex]

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